“I’m not superstitious, but I am a little stituous.” – Michael Scott, The Office (comedy) Forecasting in the post-COVID era has been challenging, as we have chronicled on many occasions. The extreme changes in economic conditions paired with the rapid pace with which they have occurred is only rivaled by modern tariff policy. Traditional forecasting tools have not been able to keep pace. Nevertheless, we continue to search for clues. Last week, the Commerce Department confirmed the US economy contracted…